Pre-test probability tool. This calculator estimates likelihood of RA based on clinical features — it is not a diagnostic or classification tool. Use to guide whether antibody testing and referral are warranted.
1
Joint Involvement
Select all joints currently affected. Small joint involvement carries greater diagnostic weight.
Small joints = +2 pts if ≥1 selected
Small Joints of the Hands
MCP joints (knuckles)
Most common early RA site — >70–80% involvement in early cohorts
Small
PIP joints (middle finger joints)
Small
Wrist
Small
MTP joints (forefoot pain)
Foot squeeze test positive — often an early and underappreciated RA sign
Small
Large Joints
Shoulder
Elbow
Knee
Ankle
2
Symmetry
Is joint involvement symmetric — affecting the same joints on both sides?
Symmetric = +2 pts
Yes — symmetric involvement
+2 pts
No — asymmetric or unilateral
Unsure
📊

Symmetric polyarthritis has ~70–80% sensitivity for RA. Asymmetric presentations are more typical of psoriatic arthritis, reactive arthritis, or gout.

3
Morning Stiffness
How long does morning stiffness last? Inflammatory stiffness improves with activity.
≥60 min = +2 pts
Less than 30 minutes
30–60 minutes
More than 60 minutes
+2 pts
📊

Morning stiffness >60 min: sensitivity 57–80%, specificity 73–85% for inflammatory arthritis. Mechanical arthritis (OA) typically has stiffness lasting <30 minutes.

4
Joint Swelling
Is there visible or palpable joint swelling on examination?
Confirmed swelling = +3 pts
Yes — visible or palpable swelling on exam
+3 pts
No swelling — pain or tenderness only
Unsure / not examined
📊

Inflammatory joint swelling is one of the highest predictive features for RA. Arthralgia (pain without swelling) has a much lower positive predictive value.

5
Symptom Duration
How long have joint symptoms been present?
>6 weeks = +2 pts
Less than 6 weeks
6–12 weeks
+2 pts
More than 12 weeks
+2 pts
📊

Persistent arthritis >6 weeks strongly predicts inflammatory arthritis and is a key referral threshold in early arthritis guidelines. Symptoms <6 weeks may be viral or self-limited.

6
Systemic Features
Select any present. Systemic symptoms increase probability of inflammatory disease.
Significant fatigue
Beyond what is explained by other causes
Low-grade fever
Unexplained, persistent low-grade temperature elevation
Unintentional weight loss
7
Risk Factors
Select all that apply.
Female sex
RA is 2–3× more common in women
Smoking history
Current or past — increases RA risk 2–4×
+1 pt
First-degree family history of RA
+1 pt
8
Lab Data (Optional)
Include if already available. Leave unchecked if not yet ordered.
Rheumatoid factor (RF) positive
Sensitivity ~70%, specificity ~80% — can be positive in other conditions
+2 pts
Anti-CCP positive
Specificity 95–98% — strongest serologic predictor of RA
+4 pts
Elevated CRP or ESR
Nonspecific but supports active inflammatory process
+1 pt
📊

Anti-CCP appears years before clinical disease in many patients. A positive anti-CCP in the right clinical context is a strong trigger for rheumatology referral even if formal criteria aren't yet met.

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions clinicians and patients ask after using this tool — and after receiving these results.

What are the earliest signs of rheumatoid arthritis?
The earliest signs of RA are typically symmetric joint pain and swelling in the small joints of the hands and feet — specifically the metacarpophalangeal (MCP) and proximal interphalangeal (PIP) joints. Morning stiffness lasting more than 45 minutes is one of the most discriminating early features. Many patients notice difficulty making a fist in the morning, grip weakness, or swelling around the knuckles. Wrist involvement is also common early. Importantly, RA can start in a single joint and progress — serial assessment is important in ambiguous cases.
Are RF and anti-CCP always positive in RA?
No. Approximately 20–30% of patients with confirmed RA are seronegative — meaning both rheumatoid factor (RF) and anti-CCP are negative. Seronegative RA is a real diagnosis, generally requires clinical and imaging evidence of inflammatory arthritis, and is managed identically to seropositive RA. Anti-CCP is more specific than RF for RA (~95% specificity vs ~85%) but less sensitive. A positive anti-CCP in a patient with joint symptoms is a strong indicator of RA even before clinical criteria are fully met.
What is the difference between RA and osteoarthritis?
The key distinction is inflammatory versus mechanical pattern. RA causes morning stiffness lasting more than an hour, joint pain that improves with activity, and symmetric small-joint swelling (especially knuckles and wrists). Osteoarthritis causes stiffness that lasts less than 30 minutes, joint pain that worsens with activity and improves with rest, and tends to affect the DIP joints (last knuckle), hips, and knees. OA does not cause elevated inflammatory markers or positive RF/anti-CCP. On X-ray, RA shows periarticular erosions while OA shows osteophytes and joint space narrowing.
When should I refer to rheumatology for possible RA?
Refer to rheumatology early — ideally within 3 months of symptom onset if RA is suspected. Joint damage from RA can occur within weeks of disease onset, and early treatment (within the first year — the 'window of opportunity') dramatically improves long-term outcomes. Red flags that warrant urgent referral include: objective joint swelling, elevated CRP/ESR, positive anti-CCP, or any score ≥6 on ACR/EULAR criteria. Do not wait for X-ray changes — these are a late finding and are absent early in disease.
Can RA be diagnosed with a normal CRP and ESR?
Yes. Inflammatory markers (CRP and ESR) are normal in approximately 40–60% of patients with early RA. Their absence does not exclude the diagnosis. The 2010 ACR/EULAR classification criteria do not require elevated inflammatory markers for diagnosis — they contribute points but are not mandatory. Anti-CCP and clinical joint findings carry more weight than inflammatory markers alone. A normal CRP in a patient with objective synovitis, morning stiffness, and positive anti-CCP should still prompt rheumatology referral.
What is palindromic rheumatism and can it turn into RA?
Palindromic rheumatism is a pattern of recurrent acute joint attacks lasting hours to days, then completely resolving — with no permanent joint damage between episodes. It is often an early presentation of RA. Approximately 30–50% of patients with palindromic rheumatism eventually develop persistent RA, particularly those who are RF or anti-CCP positive. If a patient describes episodic joint swelling that completely resolves, test RF and anti-CCP and consider rheumatology referral even during a quiescent period.
Key References
  1. Neogi T et al. 2010 ACR/EULAR Classification Criteria for Rheumatoid Arthritis. Ann Rheum Dis. 2010;69(9):1580–1588.
  2. van der Helm-van Mil AHM et al. Early arthritis cohort validation studies. Arthritis Rheum. 2007.
  3. Van Hoovels L et al. RF and ACPA diagnostic performance meta-analysis. Ann Rheum Dis. 2019.
  4. Mahadevaiah P et al. Anti-CCP diagnostic utility in early inflammatory arthritis. Clin Rheumatol. 2021.